Head to head, the Bobcats are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Miami. The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Bobcats on the other hand are 17-40 ATS in their last 57 games playing on 0 days rest, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games and 15-36-1 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
Even though Charlotte played Miami tough in their last meeting in Miami not too long ago, I don’t think there is any question about them getting their 26th straight victory, but can they cover this massive number? History would suggest no as Miami has continually played down to their competition at home, failing to cover in any one of their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of .400 or less.
In their meeting back on 4th of February, the Heat struggled to put away the league-worst Bobcats, needing a late push to come away with a 99-94 victory. Lebron James led the way with 31 points, eight rebounds and eight assists while Charlotte got a combined 34 bench points from Ben Gordon and Ramon Sessions.
While Charlotte managed to hang around in their last meeting, their previous two games in Miami weren’t as close as they lost both by an average of 31 points. The Bobcats had actually won two straight before losing to Detroit last night by a single point, however, this team has been putrid on the road of late and frankly, all season long. Charlotte has lost seven straight away from home by an average of 21 points per game, which includes games in Sacramento, Washington and Toronto.
Miami are slow starters, and they know this, but I don’t think they muck around in this one. If they play up to their potential, which isn't always the case at home, they should win this one by 20+
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