Sunday, March 31, 2013

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs



The Miami Heat head to Texas on Sunday to face off against the Spurs in what should be one of the more entertaining games of the night.
The San Antonio Spurs have had the best record in the league seemingly all season long, but after these Heat went on that little run awhile back, the Spurs were overtaken.  Still, the Spurs have played outstanding ball all season long, going 55-17 with an outstanding road record of 32-4.  The Spurs are likely to kind of take things easy from here on out, keeping players healthy and rested, but San Antonio does only hold a two game advantage over the Thunder for the first spot in the West, which is a spot I’m sure the Spurs want to keep.
The Miami Heat rebounded nicely after their loss to the Bulls on Wednesday that broke their streak, beating the Hornets 108-89 on Friday.  Unlike the Spurs, the Heat have the number one spot all locked up, so Miami could just coast the rest of the season if they’d like.  I do expect Miami to let their foot off the gas a bit, but this is a proud team that always seems to play with a chip on their shoulder and shouldn’t be counted out at anytime.
The Spurs are 37-33-2 against the spread this season, going just 18-16-2 against the number at home.  The Heat are 38-34 against the spread on the year, with a  mark of 20-17 against the spread on the road.
To me this is a no play.  Both the Spurs and the Heat are relatively healthy at this point, and I’m sure both clubs want to keep their rosters that way for the post season.  I’m not going to go as far to say neither team is going to make an effort here, as beating the other sure would help gain some attention and exposure, but just getting out healthy and rested is the more likely concern.  I’m going to go ahead and give the point and a half to the Heat here as the Spurs are very tough at home, and I look for the crowd to be behind the home club on Sunday, perhaps giving the Spurs the motivation they need.  Also, San Antonio holds just a two game advantage for the top spot, which while it may not be much, the Spurs would likely have the most to gain with a win.

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