Saturday, August 17, 2013
Australia vs New Zealand
The last time Australia's Wallabies played New Zealand's All Blacks was in October last year and the teams drew 18 all at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane.
Unusually no tries were scored in the match as Kurtley Beale, Michael Harris and Dan Carter kicked 12 penalties between them.
Carter had put the All Blacks ahead nine minutes from time but Harris kicked the final penalty which leveled the scores and finished the scoring.
The draw ended the All Blacks winning streak at 16 consecutive matches. The last team to beat New Zealand was England back in December last year and this was also Richie McCaw's last test.
Another concern for the All Blacks is the loss of Dan Carter who will miss the first two Rugby Championship matches. That said Aaron Cruden has frequently proved to be an able replacement.
McCaw missed the three June Internationals against France but has been named in the starting line up as captain despite only making two second half appearances off the bench for the Crusaders since his return to first class rugby.
Australia have played New Zealand 146 times since August 1903 and the Wallabies have won 41 times and lost 99 times. There have been 6 draws between the teams.
That record gives the Wallabies a record of winning 28% of their matches against the All Blacks.
Out of the last 17 matches between the teams the Wallabies have won just twice and their last victory over New Zealand was in August 2011 in Brisbane - not too long after the Reds had won a Super Rugby title.
Australia have played New Zealand in Sydney 51 times and won 19 of those matches. This gives them a record of winning 37% of their matches in the city.
More specifically the Wallabies have played the All Blacks 12 times at Stadium Australia (ANZ Stadium), Sydney and they have won six and lost six.
There have been no draws at the stadium so the Wallabies have a record of winning 50% of their matches against the All Blacks at the stadium.
However out of the last five matches at the stadium the Wallabies have won just one match and the last three were all won by the All Blacks.
The average score at Stadium Australia in Sydney is Australia 23 New Zealand 24.
There is little in the stats to suggest that the Wallabies have any kind of advantage over the All Blacks this weekend.
To make matters more interesting new Wallabies coach Ewen McKenzie has named Matt Toomua at number 10 instead of Quade Cooper who is on the bench. James O'Connor who played at 10 now moves out to wing at 11 and in all there are five uncapped players in the team.
At Super Rugby level McKenzie has enjoyed an admirable level of success against New Zealand teams but as this match is his first Test in charge of the Wallabies we can't tell if he will be able to continue the trend.
McKenzie has made some bold selections for this Test which should produce results in the long term. This weekend though this new Wallabies team will have to find some familiarity in their ranks and a victory over the Rugby World Champions looks to be too tall an order.
Teams
Australia
Jesse Mogg; Israel Folau, Adam Ashley-Cooper, Christian Lealiifano, James O'Connor; Matt Toomua, Will Genia; Ben Mowen, Michael Hooper, Hugh McMeniman; James Horwill (capt), Rob Simmons; Ben Alexander, Stephen Moore, James Slipper.
Replacements : Saia Faingaa, Scott Sio, Sekope Kepu, Scott Fardy, Liam Gill, Nic White, Quade Cooper, Tevita Kuridrani
New Zealand
Israel Dagg; Ben Smith, Conrad Smith, Ma'a Nonu, Julian Savea, Aaron Cruden, Aaron Smith; Kieran Read, Richie McCaw (captain), Steven Luatua; Sam Whitelock, Luke Romano; Owen Franks, Andrew Hore, Tony Woodcock.
Replacements: Keven Mealamu, Ben Franks, Charlie Faumuina, Brodie Retallick, Sam Cane, Tawera Kerr-Barlow, Beauden Barrett, Ryan Crotty.
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